https://doi.org/10.1140/epjc/s10052-014-2948-6
Regular Article - Theoretical Physics
Prospects for constrained supersymmetry at
and
proton–proton super-colliders
National Institute of Chemical Physics and Biophysics, Ravala 10, Tallinn, 10143, Estonia
* e-mail: Andrew.Fowlie@KBFI.ee
Received:
5
May
2014
Accepted:
17
June
2014
Published online:
11
July
2014
Discussions are under way for a high-energy proton–proton collider. Two preliminary ideas are the HE-LHC and the
VLHC. With Bayesian statistics, we calculate the probabilities that the LHC, HE-LHC, and VLHC discover SUSY in the future, assuming that nature is described by the CMSSM and given the experimental data from the LHC, LUX, and Planck. We find that the LHC with
at
has a
–
probability of discovering SUSY. Should that run fail to discover SUSY, the probability of discovering SUSY with
is merely
–
. Were SUSY to remain undetected at the LHC, the HE-LHC would have a
–
probability of discovering SUSY with
. The VLHC, on the other hand, ought to be definitive; the probability of it discovering SUSY, assuming that the CMSSM is the correct model, is
.
© SIF and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2014